Single poll

Ipsos poll of 20 April 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Ipsos
Fieldwork period
13 to 18 Apr 2017
Respondents
1,056
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU35.0%+1.0
  • SPD30.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • Grüne7.0%-1.0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 6 Apr 2017.

In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by SPD on 30.0%. 1,056 people were surveyed from 13 to 18 Apr 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Ipsos.

Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 6 Apr 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Apr 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.1average 31.1
  • AfD +1.0average 9.0
  • FDP -1.0average 6.0
  • CDU/CSU +0.4average 34.6
  • Linke -0.2average 8.2
  • Grüne -0.2average 7.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 233 seatsSPD: 199 seatsAfD: 66 seatsLinke: 53 seatsGrüne: 46 seatsFDP: 33 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU233
  • SPD199
  • AfD66
  • Linke53
  • Grüne46
  • FDP33
  • CDU/CSU + SPD432 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP319 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Linke318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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