Ipsos poll of 5 June 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 30 May 2025 to 1 Jun 2025
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%+2.0
- AfD23.0%-2.0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- Grüne11.0%-1.0
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- BSW4.0%-1.0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 14 May 2025.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 30 May 2025 to 1 Jun 2025, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 14 May 2025, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Jun 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +0.9average 10.1
- Grüne -0.7average 11.7
- AfD -0.5average 23.5
- FDP -0.5average 3.5
- SPD +0.4average 15.6
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 26.9
- BSW +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU193
- AfD165
- SPD114
- Grüne79
- Linke79
- CDU/CSU + AfD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne386 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke386 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne358 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke323 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.