Single poll
Ipsos poll of 5 June 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 30 May 2025 to 1 Jun 2025
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 30 May 2025 to 1 Jun 2025, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 14 May 2025, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Jun 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +0.9average 10.1
- Grüne -0.7average 11.7
- AfD -0.5average 23.5
- FDP -0.5average 3.5
- SPD +0.4average 15.6
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 26.9
- BSW +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU193
- AfD165
- SPD114
- Grüne79
- Linke79
- CDU/CSU + AfD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne386 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke386 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne358 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke323 of 630
More
More polls
← Ipsos, 14 May 2025Ipsos, 10 Jul 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.