Single poll
Ipsos poll of 14 May 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 10 May 2025
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 9 to 10 May 2025, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 9 Apr 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 May 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 26.2
- BSW +1.2average 3.8
- AfD +0.8average 24.2
- SPD -0.6average 15.6
- Grüne +0.6average 11.4
- FDP +0.5average 3.5
- Linke +0.2average 9.8
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU171
- AfD171
- SPD103
- Grüne82
- Linke69
- BSW34
- CDU/CSU + AfD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne356 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke343 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More
More polls
← Ipsos, 9 Apr 2025Ipsos, 5 Jun 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.