Ipsos poll of 9 April 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 5 Apr 2025
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- AfD25.0%+3.0
- CDU/CSU24.0%-5.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%-1.0
- Linke11.0%+2.0
- BSW5.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 7 Mar 2025.
In this poll Ipsos has AfD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 4 to 5 Apr 2025, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 7 Mar 2025, CDU/CSU loses 5.0 points, AfD gains 3.0 points, Linke gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has CDU/CSU 2.4 points lower and AfD 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Apr 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.4average 26.4
- AfD +1.7average 23.3
- Linke +0.9average 10.1
- BSW +0.9average 4.1
- Grüne -0.6average 11.6
- SPD -0.5average 15.5
- FDP +0.5average 3.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD173
- CDU/CSU166
- SPD104
- Grüne76
- Linke76
- BSW35
- AfD + CDU/CSU339 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne353 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke346 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.