Ipsos poll of 7 March 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Feb 2025 to 1 Mar 2025
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
- AfD22.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke9.0%+2.0
- BSW5.0%+0.5
- FDP4.0%-0.5
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 21 Feb 2025.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 28 Feb 2025 to 1 Mar 2025, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 21 Feb 2025, Linke gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Mar 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.4average 20.6
- Linke +1.1average 7.9
- Grüne -0.6average 12.6
- BSW +0.6average 4.4
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 29.5
- SPD -0.3average 15.3
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU198
- AfD151
- SPD103
- Grüne82
- Linke62
- BSW34
- CDU/CSU + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne383 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke342 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW335 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke316 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.