Ipsos poll of 21 February 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 21 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%-1.0
- AfD21.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%±0
- FDP4.5%±0
- BSW4.5%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 20 Feb 2025.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 19 to 21 Feb 2025, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 20 Feb 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.4average 13.4
- AfD +0.7average 20.3
- SPD +0.7average 15.3
- Linke +0.5average 6.5
- FDP +0.2average 4.3
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 30.1
- BSW ±0average 4.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU220
- AfD154
- SPD117
- Grüne88
- Linke51
- CDU/CSU + AfD374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke359 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne359 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.