Ipsos poll of 20 February 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 19 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 2,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU31.0%+2.0
- AfD20.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- Linke7.0%+3.0
- FDP4.5%+0.5
- BSW4.5%-0.5
- Others5.0%-3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 6 Feb 2025.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 2,000 people were surveyed from 12 to 19 Feb 2025, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 6 Feb 2025, Linke gains 3.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 30.1
- SPD -0.5average 15.5
- Linke +0.5average 6.5
- FDP +0.3average 4.2
- Grüne -0.2average 13.2
- AfD -0.1average 20.1
- BSW -0.1average 4.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU227
- AfD147
- SPD110
- Grüne95
- Linke51
- CDU/CSU + AfD374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne352 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.