Ipsos poll of 6 February 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 30 to 31 Jan 2025
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
- AfD21.0%+2.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%-1.0
- BSW5.0%-1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Linke4.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 28 Jan 2025.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 30 to 31 Jan 2025, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 28 Jan 2025, AfD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 30.2
- Linke -0.8average 4.8
- AfD +0.6average 20.4
- Grüne -0.4average 13.4
- BSW +0.2average 4.8
- SPD -0.1average 16.1
- FDP -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU218
- AfD157
- SPD120
- Grüne98
- BSW37
- CDU/CSU + AfD375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne316 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne375 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.