Ipsos poll of 28 January 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 18 Jan 2025
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- AfD19.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%+1.0
- BSW6.0%-1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others8.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 9 Jan 2025.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 16 to 18 Jan 2025, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 9 Jan 2025, Grüne gains 1.0 points, BSW loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Jan 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +1.4average 4.6
- AfD -0.9average 19.9
- Linke -0.9average 3.9
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 30.6
- SPD -0.4average 16.4
- Grüne +0.2average 13.8
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU222
- AfD141
- SPD119
- Grüne104
- BSW44
- CDU/CSU + AfD363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne326 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne364 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.