Single poll

Ipsos poll of 29 January 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Ipsos
Fieldwork period
19 to 23 Jan 2017
Respondents
1,046
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU34.0%
  • SPD23.0%
  • AfD13.0%
  • Grüne11.0%
  • Linke10.0%
  • FDP5.0%
  • Others4.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 1,046 people were surveyed from 19 to 23 Jan 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Ipsos.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has Grüne 1.9 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.8 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Jan 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.9average 9.1
  • CDU/CSU -1.8average 35.8
  • FDP -1.3average 6.3
  • SPD +0.9average 22.1
  • AfD +0.4average 12.6
  • Linke +0.4average 9.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 223 seatsSPD: 151 seatsAfD: 85 seatsGrüne: 72 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 33 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU223
  • SPD151
  • AfD85
  • Grüne72
  • Linke66
  • FDP33
  • CDU/CSU + SPD374 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne380 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke374 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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