Ipsos poll of 12 February 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 5 Feb 2017
- Respondents
- 1,046
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.0%-1.0
- SPD29.0%+6.0
- AfD12.0%-1.0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- Grüne8.0%-3.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 29 Jan 2017.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 29.0%. 1,046 people were surveyed from 3 to 5 Feb 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 29 Jan 2017, SPD gains 6.0 points, Grüne loses 3.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Feb 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -0.9average 5.9
- AfD +0.7average 11.3
- Linke +0.3average 8.7
- Grüne +0.2average 7.8
- CDU/CSU ±0average 33.0
- SPD ±0average 29.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU217
- SPD190
- AfD79
- Linke59
- Grüne52
- FDP33
- CDU/CSU + SPD407 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne328 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Linke328 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.