Ipsos poll of 26 February 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 20 Feb 2017
- Respondents
- 1,045
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU32.0%-1.0
- SPD30.0%+1.0
- AfD12.0%±0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- Grüne7.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 12 Feb 2017.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 30.0%. 1,045 people were surveyed from 17 to 20 Feb 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 12 Feb 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has Linke 1.9 points higher and AfD 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Feb 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.9average 8.1
- AfD +1.8average 10.2
- FDP -1.2average 6.2
- Grüne -0.7average 7.7
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 32.5
- SPD -0.4average 30.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU210
- SPD197
- AfD79
- Linke65
- Grüne46
- FDP33
- CDU/CSU + SPD407 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke354 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Linke341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.