Ipsos poll of 8 March 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 6 Mar 2017
- Respondents
- 1,058
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.0%+1.0
- SPD29.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- Grüne8.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 26 Feb 2017.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 29.0%. 1,058 people were surveyed from 3 to 6 Mar 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 26 Feb 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has SPD 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Mar 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.9average 30.9
- Linke +1.2average 7.8
- AfD +0.8average 10.2
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 32.3
- FDP -0.4average 6.4
- Grüne +0.3average 7.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU217
- SPD190
- AfD72
- Linke59
- Grüne53
- FDP39
- CDU/CSU + SPD407 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP328 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Linke321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.