Ipsos poll of 23 March 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 20 Mar 2017
- Respondents
- 1,055
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.0%±0
- SPD30.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Grüne8.0%±0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 8 Mar 2017.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 30.0%. 1,055 people were surveyed from 17 to 20 Mar 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 8 Mar 2017, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Mar 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.4average 31.4
- AfD +1.0average 10.0
- Grüne +0.6average 7.4
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 32.6
- Linke ±0average 8.0
- FDP ±0average 6.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU217
- SPD197
- AfD72
- Grüne53
- Linke52
- FDP39
- CDU/CSU + SPD414 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne322 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Linke321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.