Ipsos poll of 8 September 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 3 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 2,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- AfD21.0%-1.0
- SPD17.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke6.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 9 Aug 2023.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 2,000 people were surveyed from 1 to 3 Sep 2023, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 9 Aug 2023, AfD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.4average 4.6
- FDP +1.2average 6.8
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 27.0
- SPD -0.8average 17.8
- Grüne -0.2average 14.2
- AfD +0.1average 20.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU178
- AfD144
- SPD116
- Grüne96
- FDP55
- Linke41
- CDU/CSU + AfD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne390 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.