Ipsos poll of 9 February 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 3 Feb 2023
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- SPD20.0%+1.0
- Grüne17.0%-1.0
- AfD16.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Linke5.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 13 Jan 2023.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 3 Feb 2023, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 13 Jan 2023, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.3average 14.7
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 27.2
- FDP +1.1average 6.9
- SPD -0.7average 20.7
- Grüne -0.7average 17.7
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU178
- SPD137
- Grüne116
- AfD110
- FDP55
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne431 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD425 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD404 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP370 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.