Ipsos poll of 10 March 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 4 Mar 2023
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- SPD20.0%±0
- Grüne18.0%+1.0
- AfD15.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 9 Feb 2023.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 3 to 4 Mar 2023, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 9 Feb 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has CDU/CSU 2.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.7average 29.7
- Grüne +1.3average 16.7
- FDP +0.9average 6.1
- SPD -0.4average 20.4
- AfD +0.4average 14.6
- Linke ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- SPD137
- Grüne123
- AfD103
- FDP48
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD411 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.