Ipsos poll of 7 April 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 4 Apr 2023
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- SPD21.0%+1.0
- Grüne17.0%-1.0
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 10 Mar 2023.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 3 to 4 Apr 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 10 Mar 2023, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has CDU/CSU 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.3average 29.3
- SPD +1.4average 19.6
- FDP +1.2average 6.8
- Linke -0.6average 4.6
- Grüne +0.5average 16.5
- AfD -0.1average 15.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- SPD150
- Grüne122
- AfD107
- FDP57
- CDU/CSU + SPD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne316 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.