Ipsos poll of 11 May 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 7 May 2023
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%+2.0
- SPD19.0%-2.0
- AfD16.0%+1.0
- Grüne15.0%-2.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 7 Apr 2023.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 5 to 7 May 2023, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 7 Apr 2023, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 29.7
- Grüne -0.6average 15.6
- FDP +0.6average 7.4
- Linke +0.4average 4.6
- AfD +0.2average 15.8
- SPD ±0average 19.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU198
- SPD130
- AfD110
- Grüne103
- FDP55
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne411 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke335 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.