Ipsos poll of 9 June 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 4 Jun 2023
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%-1.0
- SPD20.0%+1.0
- AfD19.0%+3.0
- Grüne13.0%-2.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke6.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 11 May 2023.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 2 to 4 Jun 2023, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 11 May 2023, AfD gains 3.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has Grüne 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.5average 14.5
- Linke +1.3average 4.7
- AfD +1.1average 17.9
- SPD +1.0average 19.0
- FDP +0.8average 7.2
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 28.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- SPD134
- AfD127
- Grüne87
- FDP54
- Linke40
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne402 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke355 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.