Single poll
Ipsos poll of 13 June 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 29 May 2024 to 5 Jun 2024
- Respondents
- 957
- Method
- Online
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 957 people were surveyed from 29 May 2024 to 5 Jun 2024, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 10 May 2024, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Jun 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 30.5
- BSW +1.3average 6.7
- AfD +0.6average 16.4
- SPD -0.5average 15.5
- Freie Wähler +0.3average 2.7
- Grüne -0.2average 13.2
- Linke -0.1average 3.1
- FDP ±0average 5.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU210
- AfD123
- SPD109
- Grüne94
- BSW58
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP340 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne326 of 630
More
More polls
← Ipsos, 10 May 2024Ipsos, 11 Jul 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.