Single poll
Ipsos poll of 7 August 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 3 Aug 2025
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 1 to 3 Aug 2025, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 10 Jul 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has CDU/CSU 2.3 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Aug 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.3average 27.3
- BSW +1.4average 3.6
- AfD +1.0average 24.0
- SPD +0.8average 14.2
- Linke +0.8average 10.2
- Grüne -0.7average 11.7
- FDP -0.5average 3.5
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU172
- AfD171
- SPD103
- Grüne75
- Linke75
- BSW34
- CDU/CSU + AfD343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke350 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne349 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke321 of 630
More
More polls
← Ipsos, 10 Jul 2025Ipsos, 10 Sep 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.