Ipsos poll of 10 September 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 7 Sep 2025
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- AfD25.0%±0
- CDU/CSU24.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%+1.0
- Linke12.0%+1.0
- BSW4.0%-1.0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 7 Aug 2025.
In this poll Ipsos has AfD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 5 to 7 Sep 2025, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 7 Aug 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has CDU/CSU 2.6 points lower and Linke 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Sep 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.6average 26.6
- Linke +1.7average 10.3
- Grüne +0.9average 11.1
- FDP -0.3average 3.3
- SPD +0.2average 14.8
- AfD +0.1average 24.9
- BSW -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD179
- CDU/CSU172
- SPD107
- Grüne86
- Linke86
- AfD + CDU/CSU351 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.