Ipsos poll of 11 June 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 7 Jun 2026
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- AfD27.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU23.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- SPD13.0%±0
- Linke12.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 13 May 2026.
In this poll Ipsos has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 5 to 7 Jun 2026, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 13 May 2026, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Jun 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.4average 10.6
- SPD +0.8average 12.2
- Grüne -0.4average 14.4
- AfD -0.3average 27.3
- BSW +0.2average 2.8
- FDP -0.1average 4.1
- CDU/CSU ±0average 23.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD191
- CDU/CSU163
- Grüne99
- SPD92
- Linke85
- AfD + CDU/CSU354 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD382 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke375 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.