Ipsos poll of 13 May 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 10 May 2026
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- AfD26.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU23.0%-1.0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- SPD13.0%-1.0
- Linke12.0%+1.0
- FDP4.0%-1.0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 1 Apr 2026.
In this poll Ipsos has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 8 to 10 May 2026, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 1 Apr 2026, AfD gains 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has Linke 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 May 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.6average 10.4
- AfD -0.7average 26.7
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 23.7
- SPD +0.5average 12.5
- BSW -0.3average 3.3
- Grüne -0.2average 14.2
- FDP +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD186
- CDU/CSU165
- Grüne100
- SPD93
- Linke86
- AfD + CDU/CSU351 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD379 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke344 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.