Ipsos poll of 1 April 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 29 Mar 2026
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- AfD25.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU24.0%-1.0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP5.0%+1.0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 5 Mar 2026.
In this poll Ipsos has AfD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 27 to 29 Mar 2026, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 5 Mar 2026, AfD gains 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has CDU/CSU 2.3 points lower and FDP 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Apr 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.3average 26.3
- FDP +1.9average 3.1
- Linke +0.9average 10.1
- Grüne +0.8average 13.2
- AfD +0.2average 24.8
- SPD -0.1average 14.1
- BSW -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD169
- CDU/CSU163
- SPD95
- Grüne95
- Linke74
- FDP34
- AfD + CDU/CSU332 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne353 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke338 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.