Single poll
Ipsos poll of 5 March 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Feb 2026 to 1 Mar 2026
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 27 Feb 2026 to 1 Mar 2026, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 16 Feb 2026, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has Grüne 2.1 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Mar 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.1average 11.9
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 26.1
- Linke +0.7average 10.3
- FDP +0.6average 3.4
- BSW -0.4average 3.4
- SPD -0.3average 15.3
- AfD -0.1average 24.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU177
- AfD170
- SPD106
- Grüne99
- Linke78
- CDU/CSU + AfD347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne382 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke354 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke354 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
More
More polls
← Ipsos, 16 Feb 2026Ipsos, 1 Apr 2026 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2026
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.