Single poll
Ipsos poll of 10 April 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 7 Apr 2024
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 5 to 7 Apr 2024, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 8 Mar 2024, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Apr 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 30.4
- SPD -1.1average 16.1
- BSW +1.1average 5.9
- Grüne -0.9average 13.9
- Linke +0.8average 3.2
- Freie Wähler +0.6average 2.4
- AfD +0.5average 17.5
- FDP +0.5average 4.5
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU210
- AfD130
- SPD109
- Grüne94
- BSW51
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP340 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne333 of 630
More
More polls
← Ipsos, 8 Mar 2024Ipsos, 10 May 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.