INSA poll of 25 August 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 25 Aug 2025
- Respondents
- 2,002
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.0%±0
- AfD25.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Linke11.0%±0
- Grüne10.5%-0.5
- BSW4.5%+0.5
- FDP3.5%+0.5
- Others5.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Aug 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 22 to 25 Aug 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Aug 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Aug 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 26.4
- Grüne -1.2average 11.7
- BSW +0.8average 3.7
- SPD +0.7average 14.3
- AfD +0.6average 24.4
- Linke +0.4average 10.6
- FDP +0.1average 3.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU182
- AfD182
- SPD109
- Linke80
- Grüne77
- CDU/CSU + AfD364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke371 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne368 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne339 of 630
- AfD + Linke + Grüne339 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.