INSA poll of 23 August 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 22 Aug 2025
- Respondents
- 1,201
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU25.0%-1.0
- AfD25.0%±0
- SPD15.0%+0.5
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- BSW4.0%-1.0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%+1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Aug 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,201 people were surveyed from 18 to 22 Aug 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Aug 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, BSW loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Aug 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 26.4
- SPD +0.7average 14.3
- Grüne -0.7average 11.7
- AfD +0.6average 24.4
- Linke +0.4average 10.6
- FDP -0.4average 3.4
- BSW +0.3average 3.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- AfD181
- SPD108
- Grüne80
- Linke80
- CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.