INSA poll of 19 August 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 18 Aug 2025
- Respondents
- 2,010
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- AfD25.0%±0
- SPD14.5%-0.5
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- BSW5.0%+1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Others4.5%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Aug 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 2,010 people were surveyed from 15 to 18 Aug 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Aug 2025, Linke gains 1.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Aug 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +1.4average 3.6
- Grüne -0.7average 11.7
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 26.6
- AfD +0.6average 24.4
- FDP +0.6average 3.4
- SPD +0.4average 14.1
- Linke -0.4average 10.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU179
- AfD172
- SPD100
- Grüne76
- Linke69
- BSW34
- CDU/CSU + AfD351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke348 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne348 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke324 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke317 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.