INSA poll of 16 August 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 15 Aug 2025
- Respondents
- 1,206
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- AfD25.0%±0
- SPD15.0%+0.5
- Grüne11.0%+0.5
- Linke9.0%-0.5
- FDP4.0%+0.5
- BSW4.0%-0.5
- Others6.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Aug 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,206 people were surveyed from 11 to 15 Aug 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Aug 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Aug 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -1.1average 10.1
- Grüne -1.0average 12.0
- AfD +0.9average 24.1
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 26.8
- SPD +0.7average 14.3
- FDP +0.5average 3.5
- BSW +0.3average 3.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- AfD183
- SPD110
- Grüne81
- Linke66
- CDU/CSU + AfD373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne381 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke366 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke330 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.