INSA poll of 11 August 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 11 Aug 2025
- Respondents
- 2,008
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- AfD25.0%±0
- SPD14.5%-0.5
- Grüne10.5%-0.5
- Linke9.5%+0.5
- BSW4.5%+0.5
- FDP3.5%-0.5
- Others5.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Aug 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 2,008 people were surveyed from 8 to 11 Aug 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Aug 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Aug 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.3average 11.8
- AfD +1.1average 23.9
- Linke -0.9average 10.4
- BSW +0.7average 3.8
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 27.4
- SPD +0.2average 14.3
- FDP +0.1average 3.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU197
- AfD182
- SPD106
- Grüne76
- Linke69
- CDU/CSU + AfD379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne364 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke342 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke327 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.