INSA poll of 9 August 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 8 Aug 2025
- Respondents
- 1,204
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-0.5
- AfD25.0%±0
- SPD15.0%+0.5
- Grüne11.0%+0.5
- Linke9.0%-0.5
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- BSW4.0%-0.5
- Others5.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Aug 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,204 people were surveyed from 3 to 8 Aug 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Aug 2025, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Aug 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -1.4average 10.4
- AfD +1.1average 23.9
- Grüne -0.8average 11.8
- SPD +0.7average 14.3
- FDP +0.6average 3.4
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 27.4
- BSW +0.2average 3.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU195
- AfD181
- SPD109
- Grüne80
- Linke65
- CDU/CSU + AfD376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne384 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.