INSA poll of 5 August 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 4 Aug 2025
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.5%+0.5
- AfD25.0%±0
- SPD14.5%-0.5
- Grüne10.5%-0.5
- Linke9.5%-0.5
- BSW4.5%+0.5
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others5.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Aug 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 1 to 4 Aug 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Aug 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Aug 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.4average 11.9
- AfD +1.2average 23.8
- Linke -1.0average 10.5
- BSW +0.8average 3.7
- FDP -0.4average 3.4
- SPD +0.2average 14.3
- CDU/CSU ±0average 27.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- AfD181
- SPD105
- Grüne76
- Linke69
- CDU/CSU + AfD380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke373 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.