Single poll
INSA poll of 2 August 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Jul 2025 to 1 Aug 2025
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 28 Jul 2025 to 1 Aug 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Jul 2025, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Aug 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.2average 23.8
- Grüne -0.9average 11.9
- SPD +0.7average 14.3
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 27.6
- Linke -0.5average 10.5
- BSW +0.4average 3.6
- FDP -0.4average 3.4
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU193
- AfD179
- SPD107
- Grüne79
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke330 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 28 Jul 2025INSA, 5 Aug 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.