INSA poll of 28 July 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 28 Jul 2025
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.5%+0.5
- AfD24.0%±0
- SPD14.5%-0.5
- Grüne10.5%-0.5
- Linke10.0%±0
- BSW4.5%+0.5
- FDP3.5%+0.5
- Others5.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Jul 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 25 to 28 Jul 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Jul 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Jul 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.4average 11.9
- BSW +0.7average 3.8
- AfD +0.4average 23.6
- Linke -0.4average 10.4
- FDP +0.2average 3.3
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 27.6
- SPD +0.1average 14.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU200
- AfD175
- SPD106
- Grüne76
- Linke73
- CDU/CSU + AfD375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke379 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne357 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke349 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke324 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.