INSA poll of 29 August 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 29 Aug 2025
- Respondents
- 1,202
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%+1.0
- AfD25.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%+0.5
- Linke11.0%±0
- BSW4.0%-0.5
- FDP3.0%-0.5
- Others5.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Aug 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 25 to 29 Aug 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Aug 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Aug 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +0.7average 14.3
- Grüne -0.7average 11.7
- AfD +0.6average 24.4
- Linke +0.6average 10.4
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 26.4
- FDP -0.4average 3.4
- BSW +0.3average 3.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- AfD179
- SPD107
- Grüne79
- Linke79
- CDU/CSU + AfD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.