INSA poll of 2 September 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Aug 2025 to 1 Sep 2025
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.5%-0.5
- AfD25.0%±0
- SPD14.5%-0.5
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke11.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.5%+0.5
- Others5.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 29 Aug 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.5%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 29 Aug 2025 to 1 Sep 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 29 Aug 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Sep 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 26.4
- AfD +0.6average 24.4
- Grüne -0.6average 11.6
- Linke +0.4average 10.6
- BSW +0.3average 3.7
- SPD +0.1average 14.4
- FDP +0.1average 3.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU184
- AfD181
- SPD105
- Grüne80
- Linke80
- CDU/CSU + AfD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne366 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.