INSA poll of 7 September 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 5 Sep 2025
- Respondents
- 1,287
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%+0.5
- AfD25.0%±0
- SPD15.0%+0.5
- Grüne12.0%+1.0
- Linke11.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%-0.5
- Others4.0%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Sep 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,287 people were surveyed from 1 to 5 Sep 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Sep 2025, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Sep 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +0.7average 11.3
- Linke +0.7average 10.3
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 26.5
- FDP -0.4average 3.4
- AfD +0.2average 24.8
- SPD +0.2average 14.8
- BSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU184
- AfD177
- SPD106
- Grüne85
- Linke78
- CDU/CSU + AfD361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke368 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne368 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.