INSA poll of 8 September 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 8 Sep 2025
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.5%-0.5
- AfD25.5%+0.5
- SPD14.5%-0.5
- Grüne11.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%-1.0
- BSW4.5%+0.5
- FDP3.5%+0.5
- Others5.5%+1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Sep 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.5%, followed by AfD on 25.5%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 5 to 8 Sep 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Sep 2025, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Sep 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 26.5
- AfD +0.7average 24.8
- BSW +0.5average 4.0
- SPD -0.3average 14.8
- Grüne -0.3average 11.3
- Linke -0.3average 10.3
- FDP +0.1average 3.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- AfD186
- SPD105
- Grüne80
- Linke73
- CDU/CSU + AfD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne371 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke364 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke339 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke339 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.