INSA poll of 24 March 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 23 Mar 2026
- Respondents
- 2,010
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- AfD26.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke10.0%-1.0
- BSW3.5%+0.5
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others4.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Mar 2026.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 26.0%. 2,010 people were surveyed from 20 to 23 Mar 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Mar 2026, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Mar 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.0average 24.0
- Grüne -0.9average 12.9
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 26.4
- SPD +0.4average 14.6
- BSW +0.3average 3.2
- FDP -0.3average 3.3
- Linke -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU184
- AfD184
- SPD106
- Grüne85
- Linke71
- CDU/CSU + AfD368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne375 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke361 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.