Single poll
INSA poll of 21 March 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 20 Mar 2026
- Respondents
- 1,205
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,205 people were surveyed from 16 to 20 Mar 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Mar 2026, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Mar 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.2average 23.8
- Grüne -0.9average 12.9
- Linke +0.7average 10.3
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 26.5
- SPD +0.4average 14.6
- FDP -0.3average 3.3
- BSW -0.2average 3.2
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU184
- AfD177
- SPD106
- Grüne85
- Linke78
- CDU/CSU + AfD361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke368 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne368 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 17 Mar 2026INSA, 24 Mar 2026 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2026
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.