INSA poll of 17 March 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 16 Mar 2026
- Respondents
- 2,002
- Method
- Online
- AfD26.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU25.5%+0.5
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke10.5%-0.5
- BSW3.5%+0.5
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others4.5%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Mar 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.5%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 13 to 16 Mar 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Mar 2026, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Mar 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.2average 23.8
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 26.3
- Grüne -0.8average 12.8
- FDP -0.4average 3.4
- BSW +0.2average 3.3
- SPD +0.1average 14.9
- Linke +0.1average 10.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD184
- CDU/CSU181
- SPD106
- Grüne85
- Linke74
- AfD + CDU/CSU365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke361 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.