INSA poll of 14 March 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 13 Mar 2026
- Respondents
- 1,201
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU25.0%-1.0
- AfD25.0%+0.5
- SPD15.0%-0.5
- Grüne12.0%+0.5
- Linke11.0%+0.5
- FDP3.0%-0.5
- BSW3.0%-0.5
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Mar 2026.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,201 people were surveyed from 9 to 13 Mar 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Mar 2026, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Mar 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 26.1
- AfD +1.1average 23.9
- Linke +0.6average 10.4
- Grüne -0.4average 12.4
- FDP -0.4average 3.4
- BSW -0.3average 3.3
- SPD -0.1average 15.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU179
- AfD179
- SPD107
- Grüne86
- Linke79
- CDU/CSU + AfD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.