INSA poll of 10 March 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 9 Mar 2026
- Respondents
- 2,003
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- AfD24.5%-0.5
- SPD15.5%+0.5
- Grüne11.5%+0.5
- Linke10.5%-0.5
- FDP3.5%-0.5
- BSW3.5%+0.5
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Mar 2026.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 24.5%. 2,003 people were surveyed from 6 to 9 Mar 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Mar 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Mar 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -0.8average 12.3
- AfD +0.5average 24.0
- SPD +0.4average 15.1
- BSW +0.2average 3.3
- Linke +0.1average 10.4
- FDP -0.1average 3.6
- CDU/CSU ±0average 26.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- AfD176
- SPD111
- Grüne82
- Linke75
- CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke343 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.