INSA poll of 7 March 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 6 Mar 2026
- Respondents
- 1,200
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%+0.5
- AfD25.0%±0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- Grüne11.0%-0.5
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- BSW3.0%-0.5
- Others5.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Mar 2026.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,200 people were surveyed from 2 to 6 Mar 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Mar 2026, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Mar 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.1average 12.1
- AfD +0.7average 24.3
- Linke +0.5average 10.5
- FDP +0.4average 3.6
- BSW -0.3average 3.3
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 25.8
- SPD -0.1average 15.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- AfD179
- SPD107
- Grüne79
- Linke79
- CDU/CSU + AfD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.