INSA poll of 3 March 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Feb 2026 to 2 Mar 2026
- Respondents
- 2,002
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.5%-0.5
- AfD25.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne11.5%+0.5
- Linke10.0%±0
- BSW3.5%+0.5
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others5.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Feb 2026.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.5%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 27 Feb 2026 to 2 Mar 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Feb 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Mar 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +0.9average 15.1
- Linke -0.7average 10.7
- FDP -0.7average 3.7
- AfD +0.6average 24.4
- Grüne -0.5average 12.0
- BSW +0.3average 3.2
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 25.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU182
- AfD179
- SPD115
- Grüne82
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne379 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke336 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.