INSA poll of 28 February 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 27 Feb 2026
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%+1.0
- AfD25.0%±0
- SPD16.0%+0.5
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke10.0%-1.0
- FDP3.0%-0.5
- BSW3.0%-0.5
- Others6.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Feb 2026.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 23 to 27 Feb 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Feb 2026, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Feb 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.0average 15.0
- Grüne -0.9average 11.9
- FDP -0.8average 3.8
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 25.4
- Linke -0.6average 10.6
- AfD +0.2average 24.8
- BSW -0.2average 3.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- AfD179
- SPD114
- Grüne79
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke330 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.