INSA poll of 24 February 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 23 Feb 2026
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.0%±0
- AfD25.0%±0
- SPD15.5%-0.5
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP3.5%+0.5
- BSW3.5%+0.5
- Others5.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Feb 2026.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 20 to 23 Feb 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Feb 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Feb 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.1average 12.1
- SPD +0.5average 15.0
- Linke +0.5average 10.5
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 25.4
- FDP -0.3average 3.8
- BSW +0.3average 3.2
- AfD +0.2average 24.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU180
- AfD180
- SPD112
- Grüne79
- Linke79
- CDU/CSU + AfD360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke371 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne371 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke338 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.